Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 67.297802 76.085466 85.076177 94.929520 105.392702 116.142181 127.990829
2025-11-02 53.834135 66.437701 79.924019 95.292505 112.192900 130.096249 150.383845
2025-11-09 45.003034 59.546589 75.655114 94.539657 115.814778 138.814756 165.341745
2025-11-16 38.722438 54.641783 72.829174 94.675738 119.784259 147.373108 179.633339
2025-11-23 33.070351 49.796227 69.495750 93.706807 122.043544 153.631310 191.010815
2025-11-30 29.528509 47.109393 68.370608 95.005802 126.643200 162.315532 204.922437
2025-12-07 26.650455 44.949790 67.636670 96.556248 131.359104 170.992196 218.707757
2025-12-14 23.039308 41.488449 65.023186 95.607476 132.937917 175.899938 228.055599
2025-12-21 19.515328 37.799138 61.854530 93.749426 133.242041 179.171671 235.386902
2025-12-28 18.513073 37.530967 63.028769 97.240332 139.955059 189.930250 251.379318
2026-01-04 17.009863 36.393064 62.954906 99.075627 144.592245 198.196604 264.439135
2026-01-11 14.833684 34.043741 61.109116 98.527784 146.208447 202.802552 273.154245
2026-01-18 12.844512 31.808238 59.318708 97.997105 147.832587 207.439973 281.963516
2026-01-25 11.396356 30.289964 58.431270 98.581145 150.805691 213.676463 292.657671
2026-02-01 9.717366 28.185877 56.576610 97.775428 151.943896 217.629111 300.585545
2026-02-08 8.468675 26.676742 55.485703 97.920998 154.235771 222.946638 310.114572
2026-02-15 7.089080 24.734204 53.630135 96.932294 155.002774 226.344933 317.300587
2026-02-22 6.363956 23.954442 53.480045 98.256342 158.733262 233.376424 328.855870
2026-03-01 5.758442 23.335831 53.534549 99.836191 162.778639 240.788512 340.869720
2026-03-08 4.735142 21.661550 51.831339 98.869434 163.436518 243.956067 347.708609
2026-03-15 3.690714 19.705065 49.544728 96.975917 162.800057 245.454764 352.473220
2026-03-22 3.599755 20.040736 51.031409 100.533207 169.418568 256.064413 368.383245
2026-03-29 3.266015 19.704389 51.368621 102.402982 173.775712 263.828067 380.813191